When world powers start aligning to match your novel’s dystopian vision

In my dystopian near-future sci-fi trilogy, the world is aligned around two superpowers:
- The Global Assembly, which is composed of North America, Europe, and Oceania, but with leadership centralized in the former United States; and
- The Union of Nations, which is centered on China, Russia, and India, but also includes Africa and South America.
If you’ve been following the news the past few days, you’ve seen an unusual meeting between President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, President Xi Jinping of China, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India. Putin and Xi meeting isn’t uncommon, as they’re close allies, but Modi is new to the mix.
While India had been benefiting greatly from American companies shifting manufacturing out of China, President Trump has thrown US-India relations in turmoil since he took office. He’s not only strained relations with India by trying to take credit for the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, but he’s imposed 50% tariffs on India because they buy oil from Russia. This is forcing India to choose between the West and the East, and it looks like India is turning to China and Russia as alternatives to the US market.
Dystopian stories are fundamentally warnings, so my hope is this realignment is short-lived. With that in mind, you might be wondering, what might be the next step down the dark road of my dystopian vision? It would be the US withdrawing from or being kicked out of the United Nations, which then ultimately evolves into the Union of Nations.
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